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December 15, 2016

October 2016 YTD U.S. - International Air Passenger Traffic up Six Percent
Total International Traffic up Five Percent in October
Asia up Nine Percent, Europe Five Percent and Middle East Only One Percent for the Month
China Arrivals up 31 Percent in October

International air traffic to/from the U.S. (1)totaled 186.0 million passengers through October 2016, a six percent increase over the October 2015 year-to-date period.

U.S. citizen travel (86.0 million) was up eight percent and composed 46 percent of all air traffic. Non-U.S. citizen air travelers (100.0 million) increased by four percent with their market share at 54 percent.

U.S. airlines carried 90.5 million passengers, up three percent, with their share below 49 percent. Foreign flags carried 95.7 million passengers, up nine percent from same period 2015.

International

Passengers (mlns)

% Chg y-o-y

Market Share

% Pt. chg.

U.S. Citizens

85.954

8.3%

46.2%

1.1

Non-U.S. Citizens

100.233

3.8%

53.8%

-1.1

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. Flag Carriers (3)

90.451

2.5%

48.6%

-1.6

Foreign Flag Carriers

95.736

9.1%

51.4%

1.6

The following, overseas, Canada and Mexico regions are ‘breakouts’ of international:

Overseas air traffic accounted for 138.3 million passengers, 74 percent of all international, and grew by six percent.

U.S. citizen travel (62.3 million) was up seven percent composing 45 percent of overseas air traffic. Non-U.S. citizen air travelers (75.9 million) were up by five percent with their market share at 55 percent.

U.S. airlines carried 64.2 million passengers, up three percent, their share at 46 percent. Foreign flags carried 74.1 million passengers, up nine percent from October 2015 YTD.

Overseas Regions

Passengers (mlns)

% Chg y-o-y

Market Share

% Pt. chg.

U.S. Citizens

62.344

6.7%

45.1%

0.3

Non-U.S. Citizens

75.925

5.3%

54.9%

-0.3

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. Flag Carriers(3)

64.191

2.6%

46.4%

-1.5

Foreign Flag Carriers

74.078

9.0%

53.6%

1.5

Overseas regions performed as follows:

Overseas Regions

Passengers (mlns)

% of all International

% Change
2016/2015 YTD

Europe

53.818

29%

5.1%

Asia

28.457

15%

8.4%

Caribbean*

19.294

10%

3.7%

South America

13.022

7%

2.1%

Central America

9.652

5%

9.0%

Middle East**

8.795

5%

12.1%

Oceania

4.129

2%

6.9%

Africa

1.102

1%

-0.8%

*Cuba traffic doubled in October
**Middle East up only 0.8% in October

China to U.S. ‘Air Arrivals’ (2) for October 2016:

 

Non-U.S. Citizens
(Originating PRC)

U.S. Citizens
(Returning)

Total Inbound on Non-stop Flights

Load Factor (Est.)

Passengers

199,920

104,804

304,724

73.0%

% Chg. Oct YOY

30.7%

17.8%

26.0%

+4.4 pct. Pts

Estimated capacity (417,604 seats) on non-stop flights from PRC was up 18.3 percent in October, outpaced by total inbound non-stop market passenger growth of 26.0 percent.

Chinese carriers increased average weekly frequencies from 151 to 190, up 26 percent.
U.S. carriers increased average weekly frequencies from 131 to 137, up five percent

North American markets accounted for 26 percent of U.S. international air traffic flows.

Canadian air traffic accounted for 24.6 million passengers, 13 percent of all international traffic, and increased by three percent.

U.S. citizen travel (8.2 million) increased 14 percent and composed 33 percent of air traffic. Canadian, and other foreign national citizen air travelers transiting through Canada (16.4 million), decreased by almost two percent. Market share was 67 percent.

U.S. flags carried 9.4 million passengers, down six percent from last year, with their share at 38 percent. Foreign flags carried 15.1 million passengers, up 10 percent.

Canadian Region

Passengers (mlns)

% Chg y-o-y

Market Share

% Pt. chg.

U.S. Citizens

8.160

14.1%

33.2%

3.2

Non-U.S. Citizens

16.406

-1.6%

66.8%

-3.2

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. Flag Carriers (3)

9.430

-5.8%

38.4%

-3.6

Foreign Flag Carriers

15.136

9.6%

61.6%

3.6

 

Mexico air traffic accounted for 23.4 million passengers, 13 percent of all international traffic, and was up eight percent.

U.S. citizen travel (15.5 million) increased 12 percent and composed 66 percent of air traffic. Mexicans, and other foreign national air travelers (7.9 million) transiting through Mexico, increased by less than one percent, with market share 34 percent.

U.S. flags carried 16.8 million passengers, up seven percent from last year, but their share slipped to 72 percent. Foreign flags carried 6.5 million passengers, up 10 percent increasing share to 28 percent.

Mexican Region

Passengers (mlns)

% Chg y-o-y

Market Share

% Pt. chg.

U.S. Citizens

15.450

12.2%

66.2%

2.5

Non-U.S. Citizens

7.901

0.6%

33.8%

-2.5

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. Flag Carriers (3)

16.829

7.4%

72.1%

-0.4

Foreign Flag Carriers

6.522

9.7%

27.9%

0.4

October 2016 Year-to-Date

Top 10 Foreign Airports (Passenger Traffic to/From U.S.):
71.9 million Passengers, 38% of Total International Air Traffic
Passengers (mlns)
1. London Heathrow (LHR) 12.521
2. Toronto (YYZ) 11.21
3. Tokyo Narita (NRT) 8.125
4. Cancun (CUN) 7.483
5. Mexico City (MEX) 6.153
6. Paris (CDG) 6.094
7. Frankfurt (FRA) 5.922
8. Incheon (ICN) 5.317
9. Vancouver (YVR) 4.787
10. Amsterdam (AMS) 4.291
 
Top 10 U.S. Airports (Passenger Traffic to/From Foreign Airports):
128.2 million Passengers, 68% of Total Air Traffic
Passengers (mlns)
1. New York (JFK) 27,275
2. Los Angeles (LAX) 19.319
3. Miami (MIA) 17.845
4. Chicago (ORD) 10.641
5. San Francisco (SFO) 10.519
6. Newark (EWR) 10.373
7. Atlanta (ATL) 9.792
8. Houston (IAH) 9.192
9. Dallas-Ft Worth (DFW) 6.898
10. Washington Dulles (IAD) 6.315
 
Top 10 Airlines (3) Serving U.S. International Non-Stop Markets:
102.6 million Passengers, 55% of Total Air Traffic
Passengers (mlns)
1. United Airlines (UA) 25.68
2. American Airlines (AA) 24.606
3. Delta Air Lines (DL) 21.204
4. British Airways (BA) 6.265
5. JetBlue Airways (B6) 5.999
6. Lufthansa (LH) 5.069
7. Air Canada (AC) (mainline) 3.812
8. WestJet (WS) 3.607
9. Virgin Atlantic (VS) 3.184
10. Air France (AF) 3.13

 

Later this month NTTO will publish the October U.S. Citizen Outbound, all mode travel, as the aggregate Canadian and Mexican departure data is received from Stats Canada and Banco de Mexico, respectively. (U.S. Citizen outbound is a component in the estimation of U.S. travel ‘imports’.) For current 2015, September: https://travel.trade.gov/view/m-2016-O-001/index.html

A description of the “APIS” program: https://travel.trade.gov/research/programs/i92/index.htmlincludes subscription prices for detail reports in excel and adobe.

 

U.S. Department of Commerce
International Trade Administration
National Travel and Tourism Office (NTTO)
1401 Constitution Avenue NW, Room 10003
Washington, D.C. 20230
Phone:  (202) 482-0140
Website:https://travel.trade.gov/
Email:ntto@trade.gov
___________________
(1)These reflect non-stop air passenger -only data which derive from airline flight manifests of all ‘on-boards.’ Although these numbers include ‘visitors,’ according to UN WTO definitions, air traffic also includes transits, immigrants and other non-visitor visa types.A portion of the non-stop passenger traffic to i.e., Europe will not visit Europe, but will connect through one of Europe’s airline hubs (LHR, AMS, FRA, CDG, MAD, etc.) to Africa and the Middle East.  Also, some traffic to the Middle East will connect through the U.A.E. The adjustment to these regions, reflecting visitation (1+ nights), occurs after year-end data is compiled via theSurvey of International Air Travelers.

(2) Non-stop air arrivals from China (PRC). Non-U.S. citizens assumed to be mostly Chinese citizens. All inbound from China, including U.S. citizens returning, compared to available seats (DIIO/Innovata) to estimate load factor. . Note: PRC travelers also connect via Asian hubs or Canada when traveling to U.S.

(3) Numbers for U.S. carriers varies from what has been reported by Airlines for America. A4A reported mainline numbers for most of their member carriers. A4A includes Canada in Domestic. The DHS-I92/APIS data includes all carriers with international service to/from the U.S. including regional carriers, both affiliated and non-affiliated, and general aviation. The I-92APIS, however is not inclusive of Pacific inter-port or other ‘beyond’ traffic

 

Performance metrics reported are:

  • Total international air travel (arrivals + departures),
  • U.S. citizen and foreign citizen air travelers,
  • U.S. flag and foreign flag carriers,
  • Top U.S. and foreign airports.