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November 29, 2016

September 2016 YTD U.S. - International Air Passenger Traffic up Six Percent
Total International Traffic up Seven Percent in September
Europe up Five Percent, Asia Eight Percent and Middle East 13 Percent YTD
China Air Arrivals up 13 percent in September

International non-stop air traffic to/from the U.S. (1)totaled 168.4 million passengers through September 2016, a six percent increase over the September 2015 year-to-date period.

U.S. citizen travel (78.5 million) was up almost nine percent and composed 47 percent of all air traffic. Non-U.S. citizen air travelers (89.9 million) increased by four percent with their market share at 53 percent.

U.S. airlines carried 82.3 million passengers, up three percent, with their share down to 49 percent. Foreign flags carried 86.1 million passengers, up nine percent from same period 2015.

International

Passengers (mlns)

% Chg y-o-y

Market Share

% Pt. chg.

U.S. Citizens

78.516

8.5%

46.6%

1.1

Non-U.S. Citizens

89.874

3.6%

53.4%

-1.1

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. Flag Carriers (3)

82.309

2.6%

48.9%

-1.5

Foreign Flag Carriers

86.080

9.2%

51.1%

1.5

The following, overseas, Canada and Mexico regions are components of international:

Overseas air traffic accounted for 124.9 million passengers, 74 percent of all international, and grew by six percent.

U.S. citizen travel (56.9 million) was up seven percent composing 46 percent of overseas air traffic. Non-U.S. citizen air travelers (68.0 million) were up by five percent with their market share at 54 percent.

U.S. airlines carried 58.4 million passengers, up three percent, their share at 47 percent. Foreign flags carried 68.5 million passengers, up nine percent from September 2015 YTD.

Overseas Regions

Passengers (mlns)

% Chg y-o-y

Market Share

% Pt. chg.

U.S. Citizens

56.907

6.9%

45.6%

0.4

Non-U.S. Citizens

67.951

5.3%

54.4%

-0.4

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. Flag Carriers (3)

58.351

2.6%

46.7%

-1.6

Foreign Flag Carriers

68.506

9.2%

53.3%

1.6

Overseas regions performed as follows:

Overseas Regions

Passengers (mlns)

% of all International

% Change
2016/2015 YTD

Europe

48.060

28%

5.0%

Asia

25.571

15%

8.3%

Caribbean

17.842

11%

3.9%

South America

11.758

7%

2.4%

Central America

8.896

5%

9.1%

Middle East

8.033

5%

13.3%

Oceania

3.694

2%

6.7%

Africa

1.003

1%

-0.2%

 

China to U.S. ‘Air Arrivals’ (2) for September 2016:

 

Non-U.S. Citizens
(Originating from PRC)

U.S. Citizens
(Returning to U.S.)

Total Inbound Passengers on Non-stop Flights

Load Factor (Estimate)

Passengers

252,225

91,363

343.588

85.6%

% Chg. Sep16/15

12.7%

12.9%

12.8%

-0.5 pts

Estimated capacity (401,578 seats) on non-stop flights from PRC was up 13.5 percent in September, exceeding the total inbound non-stop market passenger growth of 12.8 percent.

Chinese carriers increased average weekly frequencies from 155 to 188, up 22 percent.
U.S. carriers increased average weekly frequencies from 134 to 137, up two percent.

 

North American markets accounted for 26 percent of U.S. international air traffic flows:

Canadian air traffic accounted for 22.2 million passengers, 13 percent of all international traffic, and increased by three percent.

U.S. citizen travel (7.4 million) increased 14 percent and composed 33 percent of air traffic. Canadian, and other foreign national citizen air travelers transiting through Canada (14.8 million), decreased by two percent. Market share was at 67 percent.

U.S. flags carried 8.5 million passengers, down over five percent from last year, with their share dropping to 38 percent. Foreign flags carried 13.6 million passengers, up nine percent.

Canadian Region

Passengers (mlns)

% Chg y-o-y

Market Share

% Pt. chg.

U.S. Citizens

7.375

14.2%

33.3%

3.3

Non-U.S. Citizens

14.785

-2.1%

66.7%

-3.3

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. Flag Carriers (3)

8.514

-5.5%

38.4%

-3.4

Foreign Flag Carriers

13.645

8.7%

61.6%

3.4

 

Mexico air traffic accounted for 21.3 million passengers, 13 percent of all international traffic, and was up eight percent.

U.S. citizen travel (14.2 million) increased 12 percent and composed 67 percent of air traffic. Mexicans, and other foreign national air travelers (7.1 million) transiting through Mexico, was flat, with market share 33 percent.

U.S. flags carried 15.4 million passengers, up almost eight percent from last year, and their share slipped to 72 percent. Foreign flags carried 5.9 million passengers, up 10 percent increasing share to 28 percent.

Mexican Region

Passengers (mlns)

% Chg y-o-y

Market Share

% Pt. chg.

U.S. Citizens

14.234

12.3%

66.6%

2.5

Non-U.S. Citizens

7.138

0.5%

33.4%

-2.5

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. Flag Carriers (3)

15.443

7.5%

72.3%

-0.3

Foreign Flag Carriers

5.929

9.6%

27.7%

0.3

 

September 2016 Year-to-Date

Top 10 Foreign Airports (Passenger Traffic to/From U.S.):
64.8 million Passengers, 38% of Total International Air Traffic

Passengers (mlns)
1. London Heathrow (LHR) 11.207
2. Toronto (YYZ) 10.071
3. Tokyo Narita (NRT) 7.298
4. Cancun (CUN) 6.936
5. Mexico City (MEX) 5.562
6. Paris (CDG) 5.475
7. Frankfurt (FRA) 5.318
8. Incheon (ICN) 4.781
9. Vancouver (YVR) 4.357
10. Amsterdam (AMS) 3.826

Top 10 U.S. Airports (Passenger Traffic to/From Foreign Airports):
115.8 million Passengers, 68% of Total Air Traffic

Passengers (mlns)
1. New York (JFK) 24.546
2. Los Angeles (LAX) 17.364
3. Miami (MIA) 16.198
4. Chicago (ORD) 9.615
5. San Francisco (SFO) 9.453
6. Newark (EWR) 9.387
7. Atlanta (ATL) 8.905
8. Houston (IAH)  8.386
9. Dallas-Ft Worth (DFW) 6.244
10. Washington Dulles (IAD) 5.688

Top 10 Airlines (3) Serving U.S. International Non-Stop Markets:
93.0 million Passengers, 55% of Total Air Traffic

Passengers (mlns)
1. United Airlines (UA) 23.347
2. American Airlines (AA) 22.385
3. Delta Air Lines (DL) 19.321
4. British Airways (BA) 5.59
5. JetBlue Airways (B6) 5.479
6. Lufthansa (LH) 4.542
7. Air Canada (AC) (mainline) 3.432
8. WestJet (WS) 3.275
9. Virgin Atlantic (VS) 2.837
10. Air France (AF) 2.819

 

Monthly % changes:
(See graph at top)

NTTO will subsequently publish the September U.S. Citizen Outbound, all mode travel, as the aggregate Canadian and Mexican departure data is received from Stats Canada and Banco de Mexico, respectively. (U.S. Citizen outbound is a component in the estimation of U.S. travel ‘imports’.) For current 2016, August: https://travel.trade.gov/view/m-2016-O-001/index.html

A description of the “APIS” program: https://travel.trade.gov/research/programs/i92/index.html includes subscription prices for detail reports in excel and adobe.

 

U.S. Department of Commerce
International Trade Administration
National Travel and Tourism Office (NTTO)
1401 Constitution Avenue NW, Room 10003
Washington, D.C. 20230
Phone:(202) 482-0140
Website:https://travel.trade.gov/
Email:ntto@trade.gov
___________________
(1)These reflect non-stop air passenger -only data which derive from airline flight manifests of all ‘on-boards.’ Although these numbers include ‘visitors,’ according to UN WTO definitions, air traffic also includes transits, immigrants and other non-visitor visa types.A portion of the non-stop passenger traffic to i.e., Europe will not visit Europe, but will connect through one of Europe’s airline hubs (LHR, AMS, FRA, CDG, MAD, etc.) to Africa and the Middle East. Also, some traffic to the Middle East will connect through the U.A.E. The adjustment to these regions, reflecting visitation (1+ nights), occurs after year-end data is compiled via the Survey of International Air Travelers.

(2) Non-stop air arrivals from China (PRC). Non-U.S. citizens assumed to be mostly Chinese citizens. All inbound from China, including U.S. citizens returning, compared to available seats (DIIO/Innovata) to estimate load factor. . Note: PRC travelers also connect via Asian hubs or Canada when traveling to U.S.

(3) Numbers for U.S. carriers varies from what has been reported by Airlines for America. A4A reported mainline numbers for most of their member carriers. A4A includes Canada in Domestic. The DHS-I92/APIS data includes all carriers with international service to/from the U.S. including regional carriers, both affiliated and non-affiliated, and general aviation. The I-92APIS, however is not inclusive of Pacific inter-port or other ‘beyond’ traffic

 

Performance metrics reported are:

  • Total international air travel (arrivals + departures),
  • U.S. citizen and foreign citizen air travelers,
  • U.S. flag and foreign flag carriers,
  • Top U.S. and foreign airports.