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November 7, 2016

June 2016 YTD U.S. - International Air Passenger Traffic up Six Percent
Total International Air Traffic Surpassed 106 Million in the First Half of Year
Overseas up Six Percent, Canada Five Percent and Mexico up Nine Percent in June

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International air traffic to/from the U.S. (1) totaled 106.5 million passengers through June 2016, a six percent increase over the first half of 2015.

U.S. citizen travel (49.8 million) was up nine percent and composed 47 percent of all air traffic. Non-U.S. citizen air travelers (56.7 million) increased by three percent with their market share decreasing to 53 percent.

U.S. airlines carried 52.9 million passengers, up three percent, however their share slipped to below 50 percent. Foreign flags carried 49.4 million passengers, up nine percent from 2015.

International

Passengers (mlns)

% Chg y-o-y

Market Share

% Pt. chg.

U.S. Citizens

49.794

8.8%

46.7%

1.3

Non-U.S. Citizens

56.743

3.2%

53.3%

-1.3

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. Flag Carriers (3)

52.883

3.0%

49.6%

-1.3

Foreign Flag Carriers

53.654

8.6%

50.4%

1.3

The following, overseas, Canada and Mexico regions are ‘breakouts’ of international:

Overseas air traffic accounted for 77.9 million passengers, 73 percent of all international, and grew by six percent.

U.S. citizen travel (35.8 million) was up seven percent composing 46 percent of overseas air traffic. Non-U.S. citizen air travelers (42.1 million) were up by six percent with market share at 54 percent.

U.S. airlines carried 36.9 million passengers, up three percent, but their share dropping to 47 percent. Foreign flags carried 41.0 million passengers, up 10 percent from June 2015 YTD.

Overseas Regions

Passengers (mlns)

% Chg y-o-y

Market Share

% Pt. chg.

U.S. Citizens

35.803

7.1%

46.0%

0.4

Non-U.S. Citizens

42.087

5.5%

54.0%

-0.4

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. Flag Carriers

36.883

2.9%

47.4%

-1.5

Foreign Flag Carriers

41.008

9.5%

52.6%

1.5

Overseas regions performed as follows:

Overseas Regions

Passengers (mlns)

% of all International

% Change
2016/2015 YTD

Europe

28.083

26%

4.5%

Asia

16.408

15%

8.7%

Caribbean

11.669

11%

4.0%

South America

7.719

7%

4.7%

Central America

5.981

6%

9.4%

Middle East

5.027

5%

12.8%

Oceania

2.383

2%

7.0%

Africa

0.620

1%

2.2%

China to U.S. ‘Air Arrivals’ (2) for June 2016:

 

Non-U.S. Citizens
(Originating from PRC)

U.S. Citizens
(Returning to U.S.)

Total Inbound Passengers on Non-stop Flights

Load Factor (Estimate)

Passengers

224,330

100,285

324,615

84.5%

% Chg. June16/15

23.8%

16.6%

21.5%

+ 2.0 pts

Estimated capacity (383,990 seats) on non-stop flights from PRC was up 18.6 percent year-over-year not keeping pace with overall inbound passenger growth of 21.5 percent.

Chinese carriers increased average weekly frequencies from 133 to 173*, up 30 percent.
U.S. carriers increased average weekly frequencies from 130 to 138, up six percent.
(*Note: maximum round trip weekly frequencies, for each side, is 171 (Zones 1 and 2)

 

North American markets accounted for 27 percent of U.S. international air traffic flows.

Mexico air traffic accounted for 14.5 million passengers, 14 percent of all international traffic, and was up nine percent.

U.S. citizen travel (9.9 million) increased 13 percent and composed 68 percent of air traffic. Mexicans, and other foreign national air travelers (4.6 million) transiting through Mexico, increased by almost one percent, and market share dropped to 32 percent.

U.S. flags carried 10.7 million passengers, up nine percent from last year, but their share remained at 74 percent. Foreign flags carried 3.7 million passengers, up nine percent and share remained at 26 percent.

Mexican Region

Passengers (mlns)

% Chg y-o-y

Market Share

% Pt. chg.

U.S. Citizens

9.883

13.2%

68.4%

2.6

Non-U.S. Citizens

4.570

0.6%

31.6%

-2.6

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. Flag Carriers

10.714

8.9%

74.1%

0.0

Foreign Flag Carriers

3.739

8.9%

25.9%

0.0

 

Canadian air traffic accounted for 14.2 million passengers, 13 percent of all international traffic, and showed no growth.

U.S. citizen travel (4.1 million) increased 13 percent and grew to 29 percent of air traffic. Canadian, and other foreign national citizen air travelers transiting through Canada (10.1 million), decreased by four percent. Market share declined to 71 percent.
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U.S. flags carried 5.3 million passengers, down six percent from last year, and their share dropped to 37 percent. Foreign flags carried 8.9 million passengers, up four percent.

Canadian Region

Passengers (mlns)

% Chg y-o-y

Market Share

% Pt. chg.

U.S. Citizens

4.108

13.4%

28.9%

3.3

Non-U.S. Citizens

10.086

-4.3%

71.1%

-3.3

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. Flag Carriers

5.286

-6.2%

37.2%

-2.6

Foreign Flag Carriers

8.908

4.4%

62.8%

2.6

June 2016 Year-to-Date

Top 10 Foreign Airports (Passenger Traffic to/From U.S.):
41.0 million Passengers, 38% of Total International Air Traffic

Passengers (mlns)

1. London Heathrow (LHR) 6.98
2. Toronto (YYZ) 6.394
3. Cancun (CUN) 4.832
4. Tokyo Narita (NRT) 4.667
5. Mexico City (MEX) 3.535
6. Paris (CDG) 3.257
7. Frankfurt (FRT) 3.166
8. Incheon (ICN) 3.087
9. Vancouver (YVR) 2.699
10. Amsterdam (AMS) 2.354

Top 10 U.S. Airports (Passenger Traffic to/From Foreign Airports):
72.7 million Passengers, 68% of Total Air Traffic

Passengers (mlns)

1. New York (JFK) 14.989
2. Los Angeles (LAX) 10.823
3. Miami (MIA) 10.615
4. Chicago (ORD) 5.986
5. San Francisco (SFO)  5.82
6. Newark (EWR) 5.82
7. Atlanta (ATL) 5.764
8. Houston (IAH) 5.477
9. Dallas-Ft Worth (DFW) 3.992
10. Washington Dulles (IAD) 3.406

Top 10 Airlines (3) Serving U.S. International Non-Stop Markets:
59.4 million Passengers, 56% of Total Air Traffic

Passengers (mlns)

1. United Airlines (UA) 14.875
2. American Airlines (AA) 14.483
3. Delta Air Lines (DL) 12.188
4. British Airways (BA) 3.528
5. JetBlue (B6) 3.494
6. Lufthansa (LH) 2.732
7. WestJet (WS) 2.345
8. Air Canada (AC-mainline) 2.058
9. Air Canada rouge (RV) 1.921
10. AeroMexico (AM) 1.756

 

Monthly % changes:
(See graph at top)

Subsequently NTTO will publish the June U.S. Citizen Outbound, all mode travel, as aggregate Canadian and Mexican departure data is received from Stats Canada and Banco de Mexico, respectively. (U.S. Citizen outbound is a component in the estimation of U.S. travel ‘imports’. For current 2016, https://travel.trade.gov/view/m-2016-O-001/index.html

A description of the “APIS” program: https://travel.trade.gov/research/programs/i92/index.html ¬†includes subscription prices for detail reports in excel and adobe.

U.S. Department of Commerce
International Trade Administration, Industry & Analysis
National Travel and Tourism Office (NTTO)
1401 Constitution Avenue NW, Room 10003
Washington, D.C. 20230
Phone:(202) 482-0140
Website:https://travel.trade.gov/
Email:ntto@trade.gov
___________________

(1)These reflect non-stop air passenger -only data which derive from airline flight manifests of all ‘on-boards.’ Although these numbers include ‘visitors,’ according to UN WTO definitions, air traffic also includes transits, immigrants and other non-visitor visa types.A portion of the non-stop passenger traffic to i.e., Europe will not visit Europe, but will connect through one of Europe’s airline hubs (LHR, AMS, FRA, CDG, MAD, etc.) to Africa and the Middle East. Also, some traffic to the Middle East will connect through the U.A.E. The adjustment to these regions, reflecting visitation (1+ nights), occurs after year-end data is compiled via theSurvey of International Air Travelers.

(2) Non-stop air arrivals from China (PRC). Non-U.S. citizens assumed to be mostly Chinese citizens. All inbound from China, including U.S. citizens returning, compared to available seats (DIIO/Innovata) to estimate load factor. . Note: PRC travelers also connect via Asian hubs or Canada when traveling to U.S.

(3) Numbers for U.S. carriers varies from what has been reported by Airlines for America. A4A reported mainline numbers for most of their member carriers. A4A includes Canada in Domestic. The DHS-I92/APIS data includes all carriers with international service to/from the U.S. including regional carriers, both affiliated and non-affiliated, and general aviation. The I-92APIS, however is not inclusive of Pacific inter-port or other ‘beyond’ traffic

 

Performance metrics reported are:

  • Total international air travel (arrivals + departures),
  • U.S. citizen and foreign citizen air travelers,
  • U.S. flag and foreign flag carriers,
  • Top U.S. and foreign airports.