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August 26, 2015

July 2015 YTD U.S. - International Air Passenger Traffic up Five Percent

Total International Air Traffic up almost Seven Percent in July
China 'Inbound' Air Traffic up 26 Percent in July

U.S. International Air Traffic

International air traffic to/from the U.S.(1) totaled 121.6 million passengers through July 2015, a five percent increase over the July 2014 year-to-date period.

U.S. citizen travel (56.0 million) was up six percent and composed 46 percent of all air traffic. Non-U.S. citizen air travelers (65.6 million) increased by four percent with their market share at 54 percent.

U.S. airlines carried 62.0 million passengers, up one percent, with their share at 51 percent. Foreign flags carried 59.6 million passengers, up nine percent from the same period 2014.

International Passengers (mlns) % Chg y-o-y Market Share % Pt. chg.
   U.S. Citizens 56.027 6.4% 46.1% 0.3
   Non-U.S. Citizens 65.601 4.1% 53.9% -0.3
         
   U.S. Flag Carriers (3) 62.006 1.4% 51.0% -1.9
   Foreign Flag Carriers 59.621 9.3% 49.0% 1.9

The following, overseas, Canada and Mexico regions are ‘breakouts’ of international:

Overseas air traffic accounted for 89.0 million passengers, 73 percent of all international, and grew by five percent.

U.S. citizen travel (41.0 million) was up five percent composing 46 percent of overseas air traffic. Non-U.S. citizen air travelers (48.1 million) were up by four percent holding market share at 54 percent.

U.S. airlines carried 43.5 million passengers, up one percent, their share slipping to 49 percent. Foreign flags carried 45.5 million passengers, up eight percent from July 2014 YTD.

Overseas Regions Passengers (mlns) % Chg y-o-y Market Share % Pt. chg.
   U.S. Citizens 40.984 4.9% 46.0% 0.1
   Non-U.S. Citizens 48.051 4.3% 54.0% -0.1
         
   U.S. Flag Carriers 43.537 1.3% 48.9% -1.6
   Foreign Flag Carriers 45.498 7.9% 51.1% 1.6

Overseas regions performed as follows:

Overseas Regions Passengers (mlns) % of all
International
% Change
2015 / 2014 YTD
   Europe    33.358    27%    3.2%
   Asia    17.963    15%    5.4%
   Caribbean    13.597    11%    6.3%
   South America    8.805    7%    0.8%
   Central America    6.549    5%    1.7%
   Middle East    5.366    4%
   Up from 3% in 2011
   19.0%
   Oceania    2.659    2%    5.1%
   Africa    0.739    1%    -6.7%

China to U.S. 'Air Arrivals' (2) for July 2015:

  Non-U.S. Citizens
(Originating from PRC)
U.S. Citizens
(Returning to U.S.)
Total Inbound Passengers on
Non-stop Flights
Load Factor
(Estimate)
   Passengers 240,473 95,141 335,614 88.4%
   % Chg. July 15/14 26.9% 22.7% 25.7% -1.4 pts

Estimated capacity (379,600 seats) on non-stop flights from PRC was up 27.7 percent year-over-year exceeding overall inbound passenger growth of 25.7 percent.

Chinese carriers increased weekly frequencies from 120 to 165, up 38 percent.

U.S. carriers increased weekly frequencies from 117 to 136, up 17 percent.

North American markets accounted for 27 percent of U.S. international air traffic flows.

Canadian air traffic accounted for 16.7 million passengers, 14 percent of all international traffic, and increased by four percent.

U.S. citizen travel (4.7 million) increased 10 percent and composed 28 percent of air traffic.

Canadian, and other foreign national citizen air travelers transiting through Canada (12.1 million), increased one percent. Market share slipped to 72 percent.

U.S. flags carried 6.8 million passengers, down four percent from last year, and their share dropped to 40 percent. Foreign flags carried 9.9 million passengers, up 10 percent.

Canada Region Passengers (mlns) % Chg y-o-y Market Share % Pt. chg.
   U.S. Citizens 4.667 9.6% 27.9% 1.5
   Non-U.S. Citizens 12.063 1.4% 72.1% -1.5
         
   U.S. Flag Carriers 6.807 -4.1% 40.7% -3.2
   Foreign Flag Carriers 9.923 9.6% 59.3% 3.2

Mexico air traffic accounted for 15.9 million passengers, 13 percent of all international traffic, and was up 10 percent.

U.S. citizen travel (10.4 million) increased 11 percent and composed 65 percent of air traffic. Mexicans, and other foreign national air travelers (5.5 million) transiting through Mexico, increased by eight percent, with market share at 35 percent.

U.S. flags carried 11.7 million passengers, up five percent from last year, but their share slipped to 74 percent. Foreign flags carried 4.2 million passengers, up 28 percent increasing share to 27 percent.

Mexican Region Passengers (mlns) % Chg y-o-y Market Share % Pt. chg.
   U.S. Citizens 10.376 11.1% 65.4% 0.6
   Non-U.S. Citizens 5.486 8.3% 34.6% -0.6
         
   U.S. Flag Carriers 11.662 4.9% 73.5% -3.7
   Foreign Flag Carriers 4.199 27.7% 26.5% 3.7

July 2015 Year-to-Date

Top 10 Foreign Airports (Passenger Traffic to/From U.S.):
47.3 million Passengers, 39% of Total International Air Traffic

    Passengers (mlns) % Change 15/14
1. London Heathrow (LHR) 8.352 1.3%
2. Toronto (YYZ) 7.221 6.6%
3. Tokyo Narita (NRT) 5.296 -3.2%
4. Cancun (CUN) 5.262 16.2%
5. Paris/de Gaulle (CDG) 3.993 3.8%
6. Mexico City (MEX) 3.931 8.9%
7. Frankfurt (FRA) 3.905 2.5%
8. Incheon (ICN) 3.440 15.0%
9. Vancouver (YVR) 3.148 10.3%
10. Amsterdam (AMS) 2.781 6.4%

Top 10 U.S. Airports (Passenger Traffic to/From Foreign Airports):
83.8 million Passengers, 68% of Total Air Traffic

    Passengers (mlns) % Change 15/14
1. New York (JFK) 17.059 5.5%
2. Miami (MIA) 12.426 3.3%
3. Los Angeles (LAX) 11.929 5.8%
4. Chicago (ORD) 7.052 0.0%
5. Newark (EWR) 7.021 0.3%
6. Atlanta (ATL) 6.675 2.6%
7. San Francisco (SFO) 6.468 7.5%
8. Houston International (IAH) 6.334 5.4%
9. Dallas-Ft Worth (DFW) 4.624 9.1%
10. Washington Dulles (IAD) 4.174 0.1%

Top 10 Airlines(3) Serving U.S. International Non-Stop Markets:
68.9 million Passengers, 57% of Total Air Traffic

    Passengers (mlns) % Change 15/14
1. United Airlines (UA) 18.137 -0.4%
2. Delta Air Lines (DL) 14.284 5.2%
3. American Airlines (AA) 13.129 -1.4%
4. US Airways (US) 4.854 -4.8%
5. British Airways (BA) 4.144 1.4%
6. JetBlue (B6) 3.692 10.6%
7. Lufthansa (LH) 3.302 4.8%
8. West Jet (WS) 2.660 2.5%
9. Air Canada (AC) mainline 2.491 -12.5%
10. AeroMexico (AM) 2.196 15.0%

Monthly % changes:
January 2015 traffic up 5.4 percent; February, up 5.8 percent; March, up 4.5 percent; April, up 3.5 percent; May, up 5.1 percent; June, up 5.0 percent and July, up 6.5% (see graph at top).

Subsequently NTTO will publish the July U.S. Citizen Outbound, all mode travel, when aggregate Canadian and Mexican departure data is received from Stats Canada and Banco de Mexico, respectively. (U.S. Citizen outbound is a component in the estimation of U.S. travel ‘imports’. For current 2015 https://travel.trade.gov/view/m-2015-O-001/index.html

A description of the “APIS” program: https://travel.trade.gov/research/programs/i92/index.html includes subscription prices for detail reports in excel and adobe.

U.S. Department of Commerce
International Trade Administration
National Travel and Tourism Office (NTTO)
1401 Constitution Avenue NW, Room 10003
Washington, D.C. 20230
Phone: (202) 482-0140
Website: https://travel.trade.gov/
Email: ntto@trade.gov


(1) These reflect non-stop air passenger -only data which derive from airline flight manifests of all ‘on-boards.’ Although these numbers include ‘visitors,’ according to UN WTO definitions, air traffic also includes transits, immigrants and other non-visitor visa types. A portion of the non-stop passenger traffic to i.e., Europe will not visit Europe, but will connect through one of Europe’s airline hubs (LHR, AMS, FRA, CDG, MAD, etc.) to Africa and the Middle East. Also, some traffic to the Middle East will connect through the U.A.E. The adjustment to these regions, reflecting visitation (1+ nights), occurs after year-end data is compiled via the Survey of International Air Travelers.

(2) Non-stop air arrivals from China (PRC). Non-U.S. citizens assumed to be mostly Chinese citizens. All inbound from China, including U.S. citizens returning, compared to available seats (DIIO/Innovata) to estimate load factor. . Note: PRC travelers also connect via Asian hubs or Canada when traveling to U.S.

(3) Numbers for U.S. carriers varies from what has been reported by Airlines for America. A4A reported mainline numbers for most of their member carriers. A4A includes Canada in Domestic. The DHS-I92/APIS data includes all carriers with international service to/from the U.S. including regional carriers, both affiliated and non-affiliated, and general aviation. The I-92APIS, however is not inclusive of Pacific inter-port or other ‘beyond’ traffic

Performance metrics reported are:

  • Total international air travel (arrivals + departures),
  • U.S. citizen and foreign citizen air travelers,
  • U.S. flag and foreign flag carriers,
  • Top U.S. and foreign airports.