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TI News: An information service from the National Travel & Tourism Office (NTTO)

January 21, 2016

November 2015 YTD U.S. - International Air Passenger Traffic up Six Percent
 Total International Traffic up Almost Eight Percent in November
Mexico up 16 Percent; Asia 11Percent and Middle East up 22 Percent for the Month
Chinese Arrivals up 18 percent in November

International air traffic to/from the U.S. (1) totaled 191.5 million passengers through November 2015, a six percent increase over the November 2014 year-to-date period.

U.S. citizen travel (86.0 million) was up eight percent and composed 45 percent of all air traffic. Non-U.S. citizen air travelers (105.5 million) increased by four percent with their market share at 55 percent.

U.S. airlines carried 95.8 million passengers, up two percent, with their share at 50 percent. Foreign flags carried 95.6 million passengers, up 10 percent from the same period 2014.

International

Passengers (mlns)

% Chg y-o-y

Market Share

% Pt. chg.

U.S. Citizens

85.978

7.9%

44.9%

 0.8

Non-U.S. Citizens

105.508

4.3%

55.1%

-0.8

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. Flag Carriers (3)

95.846

2.3%

50.1%

-1.7

Foreign Flag Carriers

95.640

9.7%

49.9%

 1.7

The following, overseas, Canada and Mexico regions are ‘breakouts’ of international:

Overseas air traffic accounted for 141.8 million passengers, 74 percent of all international, and grew by five percent.

U.S. citizen travel (63.3 million) was up six percent composing 45 percent of overseas air traffic. Non-U.S. citizen air travelers (78.6 million) were up by five percent with their market share at 55 percent.

U.S. airlines carried 67.8 million passengers, up two percent, their share at 48percent. Foreign flags carried 74.1 million passengers, up nine percent from November 2014 YTD.

Overseas Regions

Passengers (mlns)

% Chg y-o-y

Market Share

% Pt. chg.

U.S. Citizens

63.260

6.2%

44.6%

 0.3

Non-U.S. Citizens

78.581

4.8%

55.4%

-0.3

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. Flag Carriers (3)

67.787

2.1%

47.8%

-1.5

Foreign Flag Carriers

74.055

8.7%

52.2%

 1.5

Overseas regions performed as follows:

Overseas Regions

Passengers (mlns)

% of all International

% Change
2015/2014 YTD

Europe

55.202

29%

4.0%

Asia

28.720

15%

6.3%

Caribbean

20.179

11%

6.1%

South America

13.983

7%

2.9%

Central America

 9.727

5%

3.4%

Middle East

 8.594

4%

18.2%

Oceania

4.229

2%

5.3%

Africa

1.208

1%

-4.2%

 

China to U.S. ‘Air Arrivals’ (2) for November 2015:

 

Non-U.S. Citizens
(Originating PRC)

U.S. Citizens
(Returning)

Total Inbound on Non-stop Flights

Load Factor (Estimate)

Passengers

138,527

98,295

236,822

      76.3%

% Chg. Nov. YOY

18.0%

30.7%

22.9%

1.7 pct. pts

Estimated capacity (310,264 seats) on non-stop flights from PRC was up 20.1 percent in November, less than total inbound non-stop market passenger growth of 22.9 percent.

Chinese carriers increased average weekly frequencies from 97 to 133, up 37 percent.
U.S. carriers increased average weekly frequencies from 111 to 124, up 12 percent.

 

Gulf Carrier Air Traffic to/from the U.S. – November 2015 YTD 
 
Passengers (mlns)      % Chg. y-o-y 

Emirates (EK)  2.765               33.4%  (to/from Dubai (DXB); limited service from Milan (MXP)
Qatar (QR)      1.152               22.0% (to/from Doha (DOH))
Etihad (EY)      1.063               42.9% (to/from Abu Dhabi (AUH))
                        4.979

The Gulf carrier passenger share was 2.6% of all international passenger traffic to/from the U.S., up from 2.1% during November 2014YTD. Over 2.6 million passengers were inbound to the U.S. of which 1.5 million were foreign travelers.

 

North American markets accounted for 26 percent of U.S. international air traffic flows.

Canadian air traffic accounted for 25.9 million passengers, 14 percent of all international traffic, and increased by three percent.

U.S. citizen travel (7.7 million) increased nine percent and composed almost 30 percent of air traffic. Canadian, and other foreign national citizen air travelers transiting through Canada (18.3 million), increased by less than one percent. Market share was at 70 percent.

U.S. flags carried 10.9 million passengers, down five percent from last year, with their share at 42 percent. Foreign flags carried 15.1 million passengers, up nine percent.

Canadian Region

Passengers (mlns)

% Chg y-o-y

Market Share

% Pt. chg.

U.S. Citizens

 7.666

8.7%

29.6%

 1.6

Non-U.S. Citizens

18.265

0.5%

70.4%

-1.6

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. Flag Carriers (3)

10.850

-4.6%

41.8%

 -3.3

Foreign Flag Carriers

15.081

8.9%

58.2%

  3.3

Mexico air traffic accounted for 23.7 million passengers, almost 13 percent of all international traffic, and was up 14 percent.

U.S. citizen travel (15.1 million) increased 15 percent and composed almost 64 percent of air traffic. Mexicans, and other foreign national air travelers (8.7 million) transiting through Mexico, increased by eight percent, with market share 37 percent.

U.S. flags carried 17.2 million passengers, up eight percent from 2014, and their share slipped to 73 percent. Foreign flags carried 6.5 million passengers, up 25 percent increasing share to 27 percent.

Mexican Region

Passengers (mlns)

% Chg y-o-y

Market Share

% Pt. chg.

U.S. Citizens

15.052

15.1%

63.5%

 1.5

Non-U.S. Citizens

 8.662

8.2%

36.5%

-1.5

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. Flag Carriers (3)

17.208

8.4%

 72.6%

-2.8

Foreign Flag Carriers

 6.505

25.2%

        27.4%

 2.8

November 2015 Year-to-Date

Top 10 Foreign Airports (Passenger Traffic to/From U.S.):
75.1 million Passengers, 39% of Total International Air Traffic

 

Top 10 U.S. Airports (Passenger Traffic to/From Foreign Airports):
132.7 million Passengers, 69% of Total Air Traffic

 

Top 10 Airlines (3) Serving U.S. International Non-Stop Markets:
106.9 million Passengers, 56% of Total Air Traffic

 

Later this month NTTO will publish the November U.S. Citizen Outbound, all mode travel, as the aggregate Canadian and Mexican departure data is received from Stats Canada and Banco de Mexico, respectively. (U.S. Citizen outbound is a component in the estimation of U.S. travel ‘imports’.) For current 2015, October: http://travel.trade.gov/view/m-2015-O-001/index.html  

A description of the “APIS” program: http://travel.trade.gov/research/programs/i92/index.html includes subscription prices for detail reports in excel and adobe.

 

U.S. Department of Commerce
International Trade Administration
National Travel and Tourism Office (NTTO)
1401 Constitution Avenue NW, Room 10003
Washington, D.C. 20230
Phone:  (202) 482-0140
Website:  http://travel.trade.gov/
Email:  ntto@trade.gov
 ___________________

  • This reflects non-stop air-only data.  A portion of the non-stop passenger traffic to i.e., Europe will not visit Europe, but will connect through one of Europe’s airline hubs (LHR, AMS, FRA, CDG, MAD, etc.) to Africa and the Middle East.  Also, traffic to the Middle East will connect through the U.A.E. The adjustment to these regions, reflecting visitation (1+ nights), occurs after year-end data is compiled.
  • Non-stop air arrivals from China (PRC). Non-U.S. citizens assumed to be mostly Chinese citizens. All inbound from China, including U.S. citizens returning, compared to available seats (DIIO/Innovata) to estimate load factor. Note: PRC travelers also connect via Asian hubs or Canada when traveling to U.S.
  • Numbers for U.S. carriers varies from what has been reported by Airlines for America. A4A reported mainline numbers for most of their member carriers. A4A includes Canada in Domestic. The DHS-I92/APIS data includes all carriers with international service to/from the U.S. including regional carriers, both affiliated and non-affiliated, and general aviation. The I-92APIS, however is not inclusive of Pacific inter-port or other ‘beyond’ traffic.

Performance metrics reported are:

  • Total international air travel (arrivals + departures),
  • U.S. citizen and foreign citizen air travelers,
  • U.S. flag and foreign flag carriers,
  • Top U.S. and foreign airports.

 


U.S. Department of Commerce, International Trade Administration, National Travel and Tourism Office (NTTO), 1401 Constitution Avenue, NW, Mail Stop 10003, Washington, DC 20230; Phone:(202) 482-0140; Fax: (202) 482-2887; Website: http://travel.trade.gov; Email: ntto@trade.gov.